(Photo)
The 100.5 MW Trimont Area Wind Farm in Martin and Jackson Counties, Minnesota is comprised of 87 GE Energy 1.5 MW wind turbines.
Abstract.
This paper discusses the development of wind energy in Minnesota and its potential to offset carbon dioxide emissions from coal-fired power plants. A comparison of the carbon dioxide emissions from a coal-fired utility-scale power plant will be compared to the emissions from a wind energy power plant of similar capacity (measured in megawatts).
Nearly half of the power in the United States is generated by about 600 coal-fired power plants. A typical utility scale coal-fired power plant emits 9,000 Mt (metric tons) of CO2 (carbon dioxide) into the atmosphere every day. Until recently, emission costs were not considered in power plant applications, permits, or cost of operations. Pending EPA regulations would require coal-fired power plants take into account the cost of carbon dioxide emissions when calculating the full cost of a new generating plant and the electricity it produces. Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), the currently accepted best-case scenario for calculating the cost of carbon dioxide emissions, would raise electricity costs for a new coal-fired plant by up to 65% according to estimates from the US Department of Energy (DOE). The cost of electricity nation-wide would be impacted severely if utilities had to include the cost of CO2 mitigation in their rate structure.
On the bright side, wind energy is a sustainable, viable, and reliable energy source for electrical generation. Technological advances in turbine manufacture and resource modeling during the last twenty years have made it economically competitive as well. Electricity generated by wind energy has an added benefit that deserves further discussion: unlike burning fossil fuels to generate electricity, wind energy does not create greenhouse gas emissions, specifically CO2 (but also sulfur dioxide, methane, and other harmful pollutants).
With current U.S. policy poised to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2050, public and private utilities are looking at wind energy as a clean, affordable energy source with little negative environmental impact, and are reconsidering many coal fired plants currently on the drawing board. NV Energy in Nevada has postponed its plans for installing a coal-fired plant in Nevada; instead, its plans now call for increased use of renewable resources. Sunflower Electric’s earlier plans for two coal-fired plants have been cut in half; they also plan on developing wind energy to offset greenhouse emissions. The Big Stone II coal-fired power plant slated for construction just across the Minnesota border in South Dakota has been put on hold. Otter Tail Power Co, the lead developer, has pulled out of the project, as has Maple Grove based Great River Energy and Montana-Dakota Utilities Co. All stated uncertainty about pending federal carbon legislation as part of their decision.
A typical new coal fired power plant such as the one planed for Big Stone II has an installed price of $1.6 billion for a 630 MW (megawatt) rated capacity and a projected 9,000Mt of CO2 emissions per day. At that rate, unit analysis reveals that a single 630 MW coal-fired power plant would produce over 3 million metric tons of carbon dioxide a year.
9,000Mt CO2/day X 365 days/year = 3,285,000Mt CO2/year
Since the generation of electricity by wind power produces no carbon dioxide emissions, the entire carbon dioxide load from one coal-fired plant could be offset with wind energy under the following scenario:
Currently available commercial-grade wind turbines have a power rating of 2 MW at hub height of 100 meters. Power production begins at about 12 mph and the maximum power output is reached at about 28 to 30 mph, after which yaw control and blade pitch controls kick in to regulate power output and rotor speed. This is done to maintain optimum rpm’s and to prevent overloading the structural components.
These turbines have rotor diameters of 100 meters. Cost of materials and the “square-cube law” have determined this to be the optimal size. The “square-cube law” says, basically, that as wind turbine rotor diameter increases, the energy output increases as the diameter squared (of the rotor-swept area). However, the volume, weight, and therefore mass and cost, increases as the cube of the diameter. So there is an optimal rotor size, although research on larger turbine diameters with lighter-weight materials is on-going.
Further, the amount of energy in the wind available for extraction by mechanical means increases with the cube of the wind speed, so resource assessment is critical. If the available energy at 15 mph is X, the available energy at 30 mph is X³. Additionally, the over-all capacity factor of a utility-scale wind turbine is just over 35% (latest data available is for 2005). The capacity factor measures how much of the rated power of a wind turbine will actually be generated consistently. So, a wind turbine with a 2 MW rated capacity and a capacity factor of 35% will produce 0 .7 MW consistently in the right resource environment.
2 MW Rated Power X 35% capacity factor = .7 MW Delivered
By comparison, the Big Stone II coal-fired power plant has a rated capacity of 630 MW and a capacity factor of 75%.
630 MW Rated Power X 75% = 472 MW Delivered
In order to replace the electricity generated by the proposed Big Stone II coal-fired power plant with wind energy, we calculate the number of utility-scale wind turbines (rated power: 2 MW, capacity factor: 35%) necessary to produce the same MW of delivered power as the Big Stone II plant (rated power: 630 MW, capacity factor: 75%).
472 MW/.7MW = 675 2 MW wind turbines.
At an installed cost of about $3million per turbine, the wind energy plant comes in at just over $2 billion compared to the coal-fired plant at $1.6 billion for the same available electrical generation. The thing is, the fuel f or wind energy is free whereas coal is not, so while installed cost might be slightly higher, there is year-over-year savings on fuel costs.
Wind energy development is growing in Minnesota. Currently rated at only 3% of net generation, compared to coal at 60%, state utilities are scrambling to meet mandated levels of 25% renewable resource power generation by 2025. Xcel Energy, Minnesota’s largest utility, is under mandate to increase its use of renewable resources to 30% of its total energy output by 2020, and we have the wind to do it.
Minnesota is blessed with an abundant wind energy resource. The southwest corner of the state has consistent average annual wind speeds in the 8.5-9 m/sec range. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory has recently published annual average wind speed maps and wind energy potential tables for each of the 48 contiguous states. According to their data, Minnesota has a wind energy potential in excess of 483,000 MW of installed capacity.
The wind turbines necessary to replace the power production of a Big Stone II sized coal-fired power plant would utilize about .01% of the state’s potential capacity. As stated above:
675 wind turbines = 472 MW installed capacity.
472 MW installed capacity/483,000 MW total Minnesota capacity = .01% of potential.
Clearly , there is room to meet Minnesota’s future energy needs, reduce dependence on coal-fired power plants, save over 3 millions of tons of CO2 emissions each year, and improve the health of our citizens and environment through the implementation of utility-scale wind energy plants.
This paper focuses on the comparative installed cost of a utility-scale wind power plant vs. a conventional coal-fired power plant, their comparable CO2 emissions, and the ability to utilize the wind energy potential in Minnesota. Further analysis might evaluate the cost of carbon sequestration saved by producing electricity with wind power; or compare the relative costs of plant repair and maintenance for wind energy plants vs. coal-fired plants; or compare the relative total cost to society (an economic term that encompasses all negative externalities, such as pollution, impacts on health, and environmental degradation when analyzing economic endeavors). These topics, although they intrigue the author, are beyond the scope of this paper.
References
The Economist May 9, 2009. Coal-fired Power Plants: The Writing on the Wall. (v391 n8630, p35)
EPA 2004. Unit Conversions, Emissions Factors, and Other Reference Data.
Knoll, Aaron and Klink, Katherine 2009. Residential- and Commercial-scale Distributed Wind Energy in North Dakota. Renewable Energy: An International Journal; Nov2009, v34 issue 11 p2493-2500.
National Renewable Energy laboratory 2010. Estimates of Windy Land Area and Wind Energy Potential by State.
Thresher, Robert; Robinson, Michael and Veers, Paul 2008. The Status and Future of Wind Energy Technology. American Institute of Physics 978-0-7354-0572-1/08
Reducing CO2 Emissions
with Wind Energy
The 100.5 MW Trimont Area Wind Farm in Martin and Jackson Counties,
Minnesota is comprised of 87 GE Energy 1.5 MW wind turbines.
Abstract.
This paper discusses the development of wind energy in Minnesota and its potential to offset carbon dioxide emissions from coal-fired power plants. A comparison of the carbon dioxide emissions from a coal-fired utility-scale power plant will be compared to the emissions from a wind energy power plant of similar capacity (measured in megawatts).
Nearly half of the power in the United States is generated by about 600 coal-fired power plants. A typical utility scale coal-fired power plant emits 9,000 Mt (metric tons) of CO2 (carbon dioxide) into the atmosphere every day. Until recently, emission costs were not considered in power plant applications, permits, or cost of operations. Pending EPA regulations would require coal-fired power plants take into account the cost of carbon dioxide emissions when calculating the full cost of a new generating plant and the electricity it produces. Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), the currently accepted best-case scenario for calculating the cost of carbon dioxide emissions, would raise electricity costs for a new coal-fired plant by up to 65% according to estimates from the US Department of Energy (DOE). The cost of electricity nation-wide would be impacted severely if utilities had to include the cost of CO2 mitigation in their rate structure.
On the bright side, wind energy is a sustainable, viable, and reliable energy source for electrical generation. Technological advances in turbine manufacture and resource modeling during the last twenty years have made it economically competitive as well. Electricity generated by wind energy has an added benefit that deserves further discussion: unlike burning fossil fuels to generate electricity, wind energy does not create greenhouse gas emissions, specifically CO2 (but also sulfur dioxide, methane, and other harmful pollutants).
With current U.S. policy poised to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2050, public and private utilities are looking at wind energy as a clean, affordable energy source with little negative environmental impact, and are reconsidering many coal fired plants currently on the drawing board. NV Energy in Nevada has postponed its plans for installing a coal-fired plant in Nevada; instead, its plans now call for increased use of renewable resources. Sunflower Electric’s earlier plans for two coal-fired plants have been cut in half; they also plan on developing wind energy to offset greenhouse emissions. The Big Stone II coal-fired power plant slated for construction just across the Minnesota border in South Dakota has been put on hold. Otter Tail Power Co, the lead developer, has pulled out of the project, as has Maple Grove based Great River Energy and Montana-Dakota Utilities Co. All stated uncertainty about pending federal carbon legislation as part of their decision.
A typical new coal fired power plant such as the one planed for Big Stone II has an installed price of $1.6 billion for a 630 MW (megawatt) rated capacity and a projected 9,000Mt of CO2 emissions per day. At that rate, unit analysis reveals that a single 630 MW coal-fired power plant would produce over 3 million metric tons of carbon dioxide a year.
9,000Mt CO2 X 365 days = 3,285,000Mt CO2
Day year year
Since the generation of electricity by wind power produces no carbon dioxide emissions, the entire carbon dioxide load from one coal-fired plant could be offset with wind energy under the following scenario:
Currently available commercial-grade wind turbines have a power rating of 2 MW at hub height of 100 meters. Power production begins at about 12 mph and the maximum power output is reached at about 28 to 30 mph, after which yaw control and blade pitch controls kick in to regulate power output and rotor speed. This is done to maintain optimum rpm’s and to prevent overloading the structural components.
These turbines have rotor diameters of 100 meters. Cost of materials and the “square-cube law” have determined this to be the optimal size. The “square-cube law” says, basically, that as wind turbine rotor diameter increases, the energy output increases as the diameter squared (of the rotor-swept area). However, the volume, weight, and therefore mass and cost, increases as the cube of the diameter. So there is an optimal rotor size, although research on larger turbine diameters with lighter-weight materials is on-going.
Further, the amount of energy in the wind available for extraction by mechanical means increases with the cube of the wind speed, so resource assessment is critical. If the available energy at 15 mph is X, the available energy at 30 mph is X³. Additionally, the over-all capacity factor of a utility-scale wind turbine is just over 35% (latest data available is for 2005). The capacity factor measures how much of the rated power of a wind turbine will actually be generated consistently. So, a wind turbine with a 2 MW rated capacity and a capacity factor of 35% will produce 0 .7 MW consistently in the right resource environment.
2 MW Rated Power X 35% capacity factor = .7 MW Delivered
By comparison, the Big Stone II coal-fired power plant has a rated capacity of 630 MW and a capacity factor of 75%.
630 MW Rated Power X 75% = 472 MW Delivered
In order to replace the electricity generated by the proposed Big Stone II coal-fired power plant with wind energy, we calculate the number of utility-scale wind turbines (rated power: 2 MW, capacity factor: 35%) necessary to produce the same MW of delivered power as the Big Stone II plant (rated power: 630 MW, capacity factor: 75%).
472 MW/.7MW = 675 2 MW wind turbines.
At an installed cost of about $3million per turbine, the wind energy plant comes in at just over $2 billion compared to the coal-fired plant at $1.6 billion for the same available electrical generation. The thing is, the fuel f or wind energy is free whereas coal is not, so while installed cost might be slightly higher, there is year-over-year savings on fuel costs.
Wind energy development is growing in Minnesota. Currently rated at only 3% of net generation, compared to coal at 60%, state utilities are scrambling to meet mandated levels of 25% renewable resource power generation by 2025. Xcel Energy, Minnesota’s largest utility, is under mandate to increase its use of renewable resources to 30% of its total energy output by 2020, and we have the wind to do it.
Minnesota is blessed with an abundant wind energy resource. The southwest corner of the state has consistent average annual wind speeds in the 8.5-9 m/sec range. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory has recently published annual average wind speed maps and wind energy potential tables for each of the 48 contiguous states. According to their data, Minnesota has a wind energy potential in excess of 483,000 MW of installed capacity.
The wind turbines necessary to replace the power production of a Big Stone II sized coal-fired power plant would utilize about .01% of the state’s potential capacity. As stated above:
675 wind turbines = 472 MW installed capacity.
472 MW installed capacity/483,000 MW total Minnesota capacity = .01% of potential.
Clearly , there is room to meet Minnesota’s future energy needs, reduce dependence on coal-fired power plants, save over 3 millions of tons of CO2 emissions each year, and improve the health of our citizens and environment through the implementation of utility-scale wind energy plants.
This paper focuses on the comparative installed cost of a utility-scale wind power plant vs. a conventional coal-fired power plant, their comparable CO2 emissions, and the ability to utilize the wind energy potential in Minnesota. Further analysis might evaluate the cost of carbon sequestration saved by producing electricity with wind power; or compare the relative costs of plant repair and maintenance for wind energy plants vs. coal-fired plants; or compare the relative total cost to society (an economic term that encompasses all negative externalities, such as pollution, impacts on health, and environmental degradation when analyzing economic endeavors). These topics, although they intrigue the author, are beyond the scope of this paper.
References
The Economist May 9, 2009. Coal-fired Power Plants: The Writing on the Wall. (v391 n8630, p35)
EPA 2004. Unit Conversions, Emissions Factors, and Other Reference Data.
Knoll, Aaron and Klink, Katherine 2009. Residential- and Commercial-scale Distributed Wind Energy in North Dakota. Renewable Energy: An International Journal; Nov2009, v34 issue 11 p2493-2500.
National Renewable Energy laboratory 2010. Estimates of Windy Land Area and Wind Energy Potential by State.
Thresher, Robert; Robinson, Michael and Veers, Paul 2008. The Status and Future of Wind Energy Technology. American Institute of Physics 978-0-7354-0572-1/08